Interest rate futures indicate eight interest rate cuts

Interest rate futures are now pricing in eight rate cuts from the Fed over the next 12 months, the most since the 2008 financial crisis.
Market expectations have shifted sharply in the past week toward more cuts in anticipation of economic weakness.
Over the past 60 years, every time the market expected 200 rate cuts, a recession in the US followed within months.
This year alone, the market is anticipating a 100 bps cut in interest rates with a 49% chance of a 50 bps cut in September.
This is up from just a 25 bps cut expected in 2024 in April. Source: The Kobeissi Letter, Goldman Sachs

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